🦍 🦎 Will GODZILLA X KONG gross >$40 million (domestic) during its 2nd weekend (April 5-7)?

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resolved Apr 10

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Source: BoxOfficeMojo—specifically the "Domestic" and "Weekend" tabs.

This market resolves YES if the weekend gross for "Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire" during April 5 - 7 is >$40,000,000.
For example, last weekend (March 29 - 31) "Dune: Part Two" grossed $11,352,680. This is the equivalent number I will use.
$40M would be a roughly ~50% drop from GxK's $80M opening weekend.
For reference, "Dune: Part Two" had a second weekend gross of ~$46M.

For more GODZILLA X KONG markets, check out my MEGA-DASHBOARD

280

Will GODZILLA X KONG gross >$44 million (domestic) during its 2nd weekend (April 5-7)?NO

Entertainment and Pop Culture

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Television & Film

280

Will GODZILLA X KONG gross >$35 million (domestic) during its 2nd weekend (April 5-7)?NO

300

Will GODZILLA X KONG gross >$32 million (domestic) during its 2nd weekend (April 5-7)?NO

Entertainment and Pop Culture

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bought Ṁ16,700 NO12mo

Actuals are $31,203,359, resolves NO. Huge drop for GxK—how large will the drop be next weekend? Here are markets for whether it'll gross >$12.5M, and whether it can combine with two other movies to beat Civil War.

260

Will GODZILLA X KONG gross >$12.5 million (domestic) during the weekend of April 12 - 14?YES

420

Will "Civil War" (2024) gross more during its opening weekend than any three other movies combined?NO

I'm a man of simple pleasures, like Godzilla x Kong box office markets. I made one more to cover an even lower range (>$32M).

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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