Will Anton and Zella (me!) still be life partners in 10 years?

720Ṁ6434

resolved Jan 13

Resolved

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This market resolves to "NO" if Anton and I break up or de-escalate our relationship in some way that makes the "life partners" label feel inaccurate (by our estimation) (even if we end up getting back together later). Resolves to "YES" otherwise.

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predictedYES

oof

What happnened?

predictedNO

Communication is a skill, one in short supply, and one which is often believed to be better-supplied than it actually is.

This was true in this case, and eventually that had consequences.

based vagueposter

never go short on love

this creates an incentive for smart money to always go short on love though

predictedNO

@jacksonpolack you would think, but I've generally found that second-order thinkers are the majority on this site (so you do better by either being third order or just a good first order thinker).