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MANIFOLD
Who will win the ballon d’Or
2
Sep 30
Kane
Mbappe
Yamal
Dembele
Haaland
See results

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official winner of the Men's 2026 Ballon d'Or, awarded by France Football.

  • Primary Source: The winner announced during the official 70th anniversary ceremony on October 26, 2026, in London, as documented on the official UEFA website or by France Football.

  • Unlisted Winners: Since the answer choices are restricted and addAnswersMode is disabled, if any player not listed in this market (such as Lionel Messi or Rodri) wins the award, the market will resolve as N/A.

  • Delays/Cancellations: If no winner is officially crowned by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve as N/A.

Background

The 2026 Ballon d'Or evaluates player performances over the European season calendar from August 1, 2025, to July 31, 2026. This period was heavily defined by the 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America, where Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the final.

The current field features several high-profile contenders:

  • Harry Kane is considered a frontrunner after an outstanding individual goalscoring campaign for both club and country.

  • Lamine Yamal has surged in the favorites list following his pivotal role in Spain's World Cup triumph.

  • Ousmane Dembélé won the 2025 Ballon d'Or on September 22, 2025, and remains in the conversation.

  • Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland remain prominent candidates, though unlisted players like Lionel Messi and Rodri also hold significant favor among bookmakers and pundits.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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