Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official nominations and final rankings for the 2026 Men's Ballon d'Or (honoring the 2025–26 season), presented by France Football and UEFA. The award ceremony is scheduled for October 26, 2026.

Each independent option will resolve to YES if its condition is met, and NO otherwise:

• 2 French players in the top 5: Resolves to YES if at least 2 players of French sporting nationality finish in the top 5 of the final 2026 Ballon d'Or standings.

• At least 7 PSG players nominated: Resolves to YES if at least 7 players on the official 30-man shortlist are credited to Paris Saint-Germain (PSG). This includes players who spent the 2025–26 season at PSG and are officially listed under PSG (fully or partially, e.g., in joint-club listings for summer 2026 transfers).

• The top 3 contains players from 3 different leagues: Resolves to YES if the top 3 players in the final standings represent clubs in three distinct domestic leagues. The club/league they played for during the evaluated 2025–26 season will be used.

• The top 10 contains at least 3 midfielders: Resolves to YES if at least 3 players finishing in the top 10 of the final vote are midfielders.

• At least 6 defenders are nominated: Resolves to YES if at least 6 of the 30 official nominees are defenders.

Positional Classification Rules: For any disputes regarding player positions (e.g., whether a player is classified as a midfielder, forward, or defender), the primary position listed on Transfermarkt at the time of the market's resolution will serve as the final authority.

Background

The 70th annual Ballon d'Or will take place on October 26, 2026, in London. Following a packed season that culminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America, the race is highly competitive with no singular runaway favorite.

Because the award now tracks the European sporting season (August 1, 2025, to July 31, 2026) rather than the calendar year, summer international tournaments like the World Cup carry immense weight. Leading contenders represent top-performing European sides, including Champions League winners PSG, Premier League champions Arsenal, and World Cup finalists Spain and Argentina.

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