Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in 2023 ACX contest?

27

Ṁ510Ṁ4.6k

resolved Mar 5

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/who-predicted-2022

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Sequel market:

Unless my math is wrong, we sadly fall short in logloss and R^2 scoring ):

At what time horizon?

Extending until results posted by a reliable source (probably ACX)

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Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the 2026 ACX prediction contest?

Will a Manifolder win the Summer Metaculus Cup

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Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the 2026 ACX prediction contest?

Will a Manifolder win the Summer Metaculus Cup

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