Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in 2023 ACX contest?
27
510Ṁ4604resolved Mar 5
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ297 | |
| 2 | Ṁ84 | |
| 3 | Ṁ70 | |
| 4 | Ṁ69 | |
| 5 | Ṁ42 |
People are also trading
Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?
50% chance
Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the ACX 2025 prediction contest?
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
54% chance
Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
15% chance
Will AI progress surprise Metaculus?
76% chance
Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?
70% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by Meta by end of 2030?
3% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?
50% chance
Which of the following Manifold users will rank highest in the ACX 2025 prediction contest?
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
54% chance
Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
15% chance
Will AI progress surprise Metaculus?
76% chance
Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?
70% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by Meta by end of 2030?
3% chance