The average value for the bids of this question >= 1000
34
500Ṁ22k
Jul 28
18%
chance
4

This market resolves yes if, when it closes, the sum of the bids of the holders divided by the total number of holders >= 1000 and will resolve no otherwise.

  • Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that bids are defined as the amount of mana a user has spent on their shares, not the potential winnings.

Unranked
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

Average value of holders is 283 Mana. If one person put in ~21 k then the average would reach 1000.

@LarsOsborne you physically cant do that since you cant move the probability above 99 percent

bought Ṁ193 NO

this can not resolve yes

@121 why not

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 16% order

@ZandaZhu very little liquidity. A trader could currently only spend 960 mana on YES before moving the market to 99% and not being allowed to spend further.

In order for it to resolve YES, a whale would need to eat through big NO limit orders at 90%-99% which currently don't exist.

@SentientTree I don't really know how liquidity works, I just know that more liquidity makes the market harder to move, thats my bad. However, why cant whales add to the liquidity and then bet?

@SentientTree I also added a bit of liquidity just now, might not be enouugh but I'm pretty broke

bought Ṁ100 NO

Too little liquidity in this market. Unattractive for traders who could expend more thatln 20k to move this market single handedly.

Are bids the amount to win or the amount spent?

@maozedong31415 spent

@evan this your shiz

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy