Will US Q4 2023 real GDP growth be above 2.5%

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Ṁ6606

resolved Jan 25

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YES

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Will be settled based on the Q4 advanced estimate here https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Atlanta Fed GDPnow: https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

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predictedYES

In a surprisingly high growth, GDP came out 3.3% higher in Q4 than Q3 on an annualized basis!

predictedYES

@ZachariahSchwab Consumer spending for the holidays was always my thesis behind estimating a bit higher.

predictedYES

@voodoo These numbers are seasonally adjusted iirc so holiday spending is already taken into account. The main surprise to me was the increase in net exports.

predictedYES

@voodoo see this tweet

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