Will Ticketmaster be deemed a monopoly by the end of 2023?
19
closes 2024
6%
chance

If any law or legal action gets taken against ticketmaster, successfully, causing it to split in smaller companies

Sort by:
BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finan

I don't think American regulators even understand what a monopoly is anymore. Someone is asleep at the wheel

Imbens avatar
Imbensis predicting NO at 15%

This market changed the resolution criteria significantly after people had already bet. Originally it asked if Ticketmaster will be broken up by the end of 2023, which is very different.

Imbens avatar
Imbensis predicting NO at 15%

@Imbens “If any law or legal action gets taken against ticketmaster, successfully, causing it to split in smaller companies” vs “will a process to deem Ticketmaster monopoly start by the end of 2023.” I said to correct me if I was wrong because of the discrepancy in the title and resolution criteria but changing the resolution criteria after people had bet isn’t really fair.

Imbens avatar
Imbens

If you mean “will Ticketmaster be broken up by the end of 2023,” then no, legal action against companies like that take far longer. If you mean will a process be started against them, that’s a different question. Your description sounds like the first one, correct me if I’m wrong.

Related markets

Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?92%
Will any of the big streaming platforms sell or merge in 2023?35%
Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?37%
Will Masterworks turn out to be a scam in 2023?41%
Will Apple be in the top 10 companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2023?98%
Will Disney sell their stake in Hulu by the end of 2023?20%
Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?46%
Will the FTC make any public moves to take antitrust action against Apple before 2025?66%
Will the kick.com streaming platform still exist in 2024?84%
Will Youtube TV be discontinued by the end of 2025?33%
Will Amazon be in the top 10 companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2023?94%
Will Microsoft be in the top 10 companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2023?97%
Will any major EA Organization shut down by the end of 2023?69%
Will Microsoft be the subject of a copyright infringement court case due to Bing in 2023?54%
Will Microsoft announce a deal to buy Netflix by end of 2023?7%
Will MTG Arena become the canonical source of rules functionality by the end of 2026?20%
Is 2023 the year the last Blockbuster closes?13%
Will Betfair still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?86%
Will YouTube Music be discontinued before 2024?25%
Will Apple's market cap go up during 2023?84%