Will a tornado outbreak occur on either April 18, 19, 20 or 21 in the USA?

Question

This market will resolves YES if a tornado outbreak occurs on either April 18, 19, 20 or 21 in 2026.

To qualify as a tornado outbreak, there must be 6 or more tornadoes confirmed in any one of the given days.

This market will resolve based on SPC Filtered Storm Reports

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 64% chance (6 traders, as of Apr 14, 2026).

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