Will a tornado outbreak occur on either April 22, 23, 24 or 25 in the USA?

Question

This market will resolves YES if a tornado outbreak occurs on either April 22, 23, 24 or 25 in 2026.

To qualify as a tornado outbreak, there must be 6 or more tornadoes confirmed in any one of the given days.

This market will resolve based on SPC Filtered Storm Reports

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 65% chance (4 traders, as of Apr 22, 2026).

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