If Kevin McCarthy gets into a physical fight before Thanksgiving, will he win the fight? | Manifold

If Kevin McCarthy gets into a physical fight before Thanksgiving, will he win the fight?

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Continegent on @Joshua 's market resolving as Yes, will Kevin McCarthy win in single combat against his opponent?

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#Speaker of the House election

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I count one strike from Kevin on Tim, and zero strikes from Tim on Kevin. Is that a win?

@Joshua Yes, that's a win.

The base rate for Kevin winning anything is low.

@Joshua I can't dispute this.

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