Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Google widely release Gemini in December 2023?
29
Ṁ550Ṁ9.2k
resolved Dec 18
Resolved
N/A

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
predictedYES

NA as there is too much ambiguity

According to Google, Gemini contains Gemini Pro, Gemini Ultra, and Gemini Nano. Only Gemini Pro was released today and others aren't expected until 2024. So the resolution of this market is ambiguous because "widely release Gemini" doesn't specify whether that's a full or partial release.

predictedNO

@Jacy Yeah, I personally was reading the question as "Google's most advanced model that aims to beat GPT-4", and was predicting NO based on thinking that the safety checking would take longer—which is indeed the reason why Ultra isn't released now. It seems that Ultra is probably the thing that everyone has been waiting for, not Pro (though I haven't experimented with it a lot yet).

I wonder how others read the question?

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/google-postpones-big-ai-launch-as-openai-zooms-ahead

Google has quietly delayed the public debut of Gemini, a conversational artificial intelligence that aims to compete with OpenAI, to January, two people with knowledge of the decision said.

Define widely-release