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Can this be resolved?

https://polymarket.com/event/guatemala-presidential-election-who-will-win/guatemala-presidential-election-will-sandra-torres-win

Polymarket

Polymarket

Polls are all over the map. I think Arevalo will win by 20%, but there could be fraud or something unexpected.

Other includes Arevalo - and I think he is favored to win!

https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/seven-decades-after-guatemala-coup-bernardo-arevalo-sees-a-dramatic-rise/

Arevalo goes from sixth or so place in the polling to make it to the second round.

Seven Decades After Guatemala Coup, Bernardo Arévalo Sees a Dramatic Rise

The son of a trailblazing president will face a powerful political establishment in a runoff election.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/5/26/top-guatemalan-presidential-candidate-disqualified-ahead-of-race

BTW - I'm trying to get a discord channel going on the Manifold Markets discord to discuss international elections (creating markets, promoting markets, discussion of who will win, no personal attacks). How can we do this?