Will any country use a nuclear weapon in 2024? | Manifold

Will any country use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

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7

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Jan 2

6%

chance

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1W

1M

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If any country uses a nuclear weapon in 2024 (excluding tests or accidents) will resolve to 'YES'

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#Nuclear War 2024

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Must the weapon detonate to be included? Or is launching it adequate? (For example, I'm wondering about a successful missile intercept.)

@EvanDaniel yes, it must be detonated

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