Will Russia invade any parts of Ukraine besides Donetsk and Luhansk oblast before March 8?
44
100Ṁ19k
resolved Feb 24
Resolved
YES
It looks like @Duncan's question is about to resolve positively. But will Russia stop at just Donetsk and Luhansk, or will they go further? Resolves YES if Russian military has a presence within Ukraine other than in Crimea, Donetsk oblast, and/or Luhansk oblast between now and March 7 2022, 23:59, Kyiv time. Feb 22, 11:07am: If Russia invades parts of Donetsk or Luhansk oblast that are not currently controlled by DNR/LNR, that does not count. They need to cross an oblast boundary.
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Putin just declared the start of hostilities - I'm at 99% confident this will resolve positive.
Kharkiv
Here Yev, I've ~doubled your Ante.
mostly roughly arbitraging with the various questions about whether Kiev will be invaded by various dates
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