Will anyone try to take credit for nuking LessWrong?
15
100Ṁ337
resolved Oct 5
Resolved
NO

Background:

Resolves YES if someone publicly claims on lesswrong before the close date that they were the one to nuke the site (either time), and then someone posts a link to it in the comments below.
Resoles NO if no such link is posted in the comments.

Petrov Day
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predictedNO

I'm going to resolve this to NO tomorrow unless someone posts evidence that this should be a YES.

Does this resolve yes based on either successful press of the button?

@MartinRandall Good question. I was only thinking of the second press when I created this market, but counting either press is more consistent with the description-as-written. So taking credit for either press counts.

I updated the description and also clarified that unsuccessful presses don't count.

Related market:

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/who-pressed-the-2022-petrov-day-but

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