Will any of the traders roll 42 on a 100-sided Fairly Random die by EOY? (no hax)
62
260
แน€1.2K
resolved Dec 14
Resolved
YES

Each trader gets to roll one 100-sided die using @FairlyRandom . Only your first roll counts and you have to have made at least one trade before rolling the die. If you roll 42, the market resolves YES. If no one rolls 42 by EOY, resolves NO.

You can (and should!) buy YES after you rolled 42. I'll wait until the price has stabilized close to 100% before resolving.

Loaded dice and other hax are not allowed. If you found a way to exploit FairlyRandom, please do so on /Yev/will-any-of-the-traders-roll-1337-o instead.

Get แน€200 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
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2แน€621
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4แน€219
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predicted YES

Ahh, I just sold some stock. Still made some profit though : )

bought แน€10,000 of YES

@Yev kindly resolve please

predicted NO

@AmmonLam Have some patience. Despite what it may seem, I'm not actually online 24/7 ๐Ÿ˜…

predicted YES

@Yev =)

@josh your random number is: 42

Salt: zDgXyVxEqRznJWZUKM4k, round: 2519940 (signature 84d4c424574360bdb48b7a70ebc2c2a1259eb7be816da67ed3391ebe5f9f551f34a6669bcf05d3df6e7eb92ccf168a2b062cc4c79beb133548760606f00cf118d099602a1f719d7afc0535bedc102aa4ca89e5db25fd692532098031597405e1)

@josh you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 2519938 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2519940, salt: zDgXyVxEqRznJWZUKM4k.

bought แน€1 of NO

@FairlyRandom 100

bought แน€1 of NO

I gather, a simple strategy based on an expected bound of rolls until the closing date is probably not the best one haha. I donโ€™t expect there to be 50 or something new rolls left, though maybe new people will concentrate here later with increasing frequency?.. Thatโ€™s troubling.

@PaulKroger your random number is: 21

Salt: 67FVpT38UI6aNJ89n9RL, round: 2517315 (signature 8e72d8773c7534f64adbd11c1b846acb39e5153595f88f4d799b5468d4506f54a3ba519e94320b763b94735d7518079b02ac0d3dc73d6df6b9c51477e88bac26a79572e087b65b72dc5a0b37092d00d1a44412a697da0d1ac00196356515038b)

predicted NO

@FairlyRandom Halfway there. Again.

@PaulKroger you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 2517313 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2517315, salt: 67FVpT38UI6aNJ89n9RL.

bought แน€10 of YES

@FairlyRandom 100

@jonny your random number is: 69

Salt: nnJr8boLwaxSgvxkMYu2, round: 2516564 (signature a9de07db5753ea1ff2fab6428c25075fcffef2c749f7fdfa738ae1dce059bb34106f13c5220f10967c75bfd2dcb9d5cd0997302eb32732178ea51847259d01ca60a4a646e251be89f400cabfaedbfa023f0b3a4d6660b33bcd87c3b88261daf5)

predicted NO

@jonny you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 2516562 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2516564, salt: nnJr8boLwaxSgvxkMYu2.

bought แน€10 of NO

@FairlyRandom 100

@TimothyCurrie your random number is: 70

Salt: M8btaIJqZ07CGg4MPVb7, round: 2516562 (signature 92f5c12792cacca73d41d20e7880660c67406de0614928864096618ca431c7620920ecac51cef89e2b9eeefb422ee2a9166f3dae27c192099ad7903d9acd3cd64ecf17a444cb778385985209fbb475114415abea84958c0b0e00d01ccaf037e5)

@TimothyCurrie you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 2516560 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2516562, salt: M8btaIJqZ07CGg4MPVb7.

bought แน€40 of YES

@AndrewG your random number is: 39

Salt: i0dBlydTng44vstvbHMQ, round: 2514888 (signature a894691daca63d38c5a82560e96f12dc21c45378a1adffd694a772a13589ebdded9f39950dee1740cfa2999f7c2519ee136d1634fc02dad072b50e25136d82e85ae7bd33a44657e7fd831b923825c43a456a5822ad80f5032ad174821e8c2303)

@AndrewG you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 2514886 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2514888, salt: i0dBlydTng44vstvbHMQ.

@TriHard your random number is: 22

Salt: ZI1kIiy2ix21Hti7SMzp, round: 2513592 (signature b6232a1913773e5e0cb5f272889eeafb33974b213cf629caa7600200fb3129e737b248c01fb8dbf15f415a7ad730dbf502c58e5dff854aa867566a8148ceb4d3798fb4a43b317f38dfa5e4b0c1e3993771acb2337c06587e502a4a6234f80fe3)

@TriHard you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 2513590 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2513592, salt: ZI1kIiy2ix21Hti7SMzp.

bought แน€5 of YES