Each trader gets to roll one 2000-sided die using @FairlyRandom or a fork of it. Only your first roll counts and you have to have made at least one trade before rolling the die. If you roll 1337 (and no one can find incontrovertible proof that you've cheated in the following 72 hours) the market resolves YES. If no one rolls 1337 by EOY, resolves NO.
Cheating is allowed, as long as no one can prove you did it. If you get caught, your roll doesn't count and you can't try again. You can still trade on this market, and there should be no social repercussions. If you want fair gambling, you should bet on /Yev/will-any-of-the-traders-roll-42-on instead.
If you are using a fork of FairlyRandom, it has to be using the same randomization mechanism as some version FairlyRandom, not earlier than this the last commit before this market's creation.
Some things which are sus but not sufficient proof of cheating:
Buying a lot of YES just before rolling 1337.
Using a fork of an outdated version of FairlyRandom for unexplained reasons.
Being a nerd who is probably smart enough to find a bug in FairlyRandom.
Not a valid request: Range is ambiguous. Please include only a single number, or explicitly state max=N
@BenjaminCosman your random number is: 987
Salt: krOr98zQFMPDqQnZR9Sp, round: 2465348 (signature b87ac0c9e793f629a9146359e1ab34d9aefb804175b007a92840d7c46cf834ba5b95e5b04b9b44ffad35248ae848073101fafd8aac1cf4eadc333928ecac1148264774417af2c52e870a9eee4954f7cb6c14f6ae197495e3c472bdf1e745bcbb)
@BenjaminCosman you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 2465346 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2465348, salt: krOr98zQFMPDqQnZR9Sp.
Slight variant here that should avoid the risk of someone winning without cheating, and a few other minor tweaks: https://manifold.markets/FairlyRandom/will-any-of-the-traders-predict-the
@IsaacKing your random number is: 1919
Technical details
Round: 2462441, salt: T8AutMrWab1wEjs7PxlP, retries: 0. To validate, run the following Linux command: echo -n 48ffa5f2a27576cace0be873a5d512feea4fa7f414d781943466e316514e9dac-T8AutMrWab1wEjs7PxlP | sha256sum. Take the first sixteen hex digits of the output (0xbd2bfe391a61db9e = 13631268218376149918) modulo 2000 and add 1. Randomness details:
{"round": 2462441, "randomness": "48ffa5f2a27576cace0be873a5d512feea4fa7f414d781943466e316514e9dac", "signature": "afd3710563b84079ec09486a4dff713ed6cc9711fc6296b6e042e74fee7f00d8f70588d12260818079df3135dcc3671d109dd3bcfb4c36419d0b51724c1d9a18bb72d1e1b25ba5e5369a9cf1b606474a7fe34c700f0ac6495c4519975243aa81", "previous_signature": "b03293a372ef81f96340b97b01bf4a826e2c4933cf784eef8e1b3f7f435b8a93cd4874576e920f73eacbc361bf93acbb19e8859d2146cff4a350f4e9e4a0fbda3a17619d22d76d15dce9a275be9f66f84d06ff0a9d32c5d2e2632f3d65a0849c", "timestamp_retrieved": 1669304253, "timestamp_available_estimate": 1669304250}
@IsaacKing you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
You can view the open-source implementation and usage instructions for this bot on GitHub.
Technical details
Previous round: 2462439 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2462441, salt: T8AutMrWab1wEjs7PxlP. Algorithm:
m = hashlib.sha256()
m.update(randomness['randomness'].encode('ascii'))
m.update('-T8AutMrWab1wEjs7PxlP'.encode('ascii'))
while True:
m_int = int.from_bytes(m.digest()[:8], byteorder='big')
if m_int < 18446744073709550000:
return (m_int % 2000) + 1
m.update("-RETRY")
Randomness details:
{"round": 2462439, "randomness": "75e69a5971d9cf509f48188b3cd81a31e3b1661a3dd4ee7b9388116a1eee723d", "signature": "8c7b795d6bf8096dc8c3e96396e1252d885598ce6f9aec3b15d94bc1f26a99e1ed048b9d406392c62992c952b03f518d0156ef4c61d7acdcf492b658dc3f8b293c1e2035c4b382e773fa505b694c16e79753e9045a203c532b0f632fed6a205d", "previous_signature": "a5a65c21aed952907f2188e046303c92ce9f8b1f14620194d4b608c447f7f0b7063f1c914db150e632d87804d797b8230d77f19f46648bd35f6a2ddcdaf3655f4bba7e8ad7244e66b325551537fad43bcbc9fc3e84976d6f83eac1e7e7d6ee4f", "timestamp_retrieved": 1669304202, "timestamp_available_estimate": 1669304190}
@MichaelChen your random number is: 328
Technical details
Round: 2461409, salt: P4Rammhalq7VTr0lEhAG, retries: 0. To validate, run the following Linux command: echo -n 2fe56a62a795ebc423debd588e6290618831285d7c6ebab541b8760f55f3e9b6-P4Rammhalq7VTr0lEhAG | sha256sum. Take the first sixteen hex digits of the output (0xa30ad6f90c1688e7 = 11748438943087364327) modulo 2000 and add 1. Randomness details:
{"round": 2461409, "randomness": "2fe56a62a795ebc423debd588e6290618831285d7c6ebab541b8760f55f3e9b6", "signature": "a08f7291baeda812cdfbf63f67f56634f3cc9efb04e18f96e16e7567c8b656d6e1a1bdcf0bd44b9e7fddd04aadeb6cc504a7255b6ac9e0ab093e1cc94cc9fc23e3a57e8ffe313ae26e9d2fcc72ae8106ad522752090acacadf108a1ac06b9dbb", "previous_signature": "b5576a313d1e325afcf1fca97997d3d93cf724a13eb8035291c58f2a09cc224ae1cc6aaf4c58c40f75a97f644dff93f30f5f16f856a180db5e5031463bba50d0d0f584b770d65cd0b695fc2684c6346b563e4ccc65f2f239c4a3e9a49d510ebc", "timestamp_retrieved": 1669273293, "timestamp_available_estimate": 1669273290}
@MichaelChen you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
You can view the open-source implementation and usage instructions for this bot on GitHub.
Technical details
Previous round: 2461407 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2461409, salt: P4Rammhalq7VTr0lEhAG. Algorithm:
m = hashlib.sha256()
m.update(randomness['randomness'].encode('ascii'))
m.update('-P4Rammhalq7VTr0lEhAG'.encode('ascii'))
while True:
m_int = int.from_bytes(m.digest()[:8], byteorder='big')
if m_int < 18446744073709550000:
return (m_int % 2000) + 1
m.update("-RETRY")
Randomness details:
{"round": 2461407, "randomness": "63805961b340ece6dd9bc2b5f90929c641e841e74eae983f50c3e22b02979cec", "signature": "833b1bb64d8867e77b6f533e0c46fe2b0b58801d3e8baf4cc27f4c672da08802de5944b6fa196825eff0b89ea122c3cc1979fca0a2ff31293449fa4c9a88b93afdb5437765528a930be0aec693eab64dcab9a396d70eb1dd79fda825662a491f", "previous_signature": "aa2ee34c63fe2431888e52bc9bf50699862ba7723c585b1a48ca4a84bbb11cbbccd557642416c84a8ff252742fe21d21066dc00b54fc6a2fcf913b1e7b74cbb4f21edad92b5615070c9d9e486d844fa3034e7fbe9855856690a37fc29944b2de", "timestamp_retrieved": 1669273257, "timestamp_available_estimate": 1669273230}
@arae your random number is: 885
Technical details
Round: 2461233, salt: YpXAPpe3f2LNgsPL4dXs, retries: 0. To validate, run the following Linux command: echo -n 3607e7d8c587c22ff7c7861aaeefd4e874103e520e5fa3310d0a256c0813a54e-YpXAPpe3f2LNgsPL4dXs | sha256sum. Take the first sixteen hex digits of the output (0x6c0d8f9429a0ab64 = 7786037197309782884) modulo 2000 and add one. Randomness details:
{"round": 2461233, "randomness": "3607e7d8c587c22ff7c7861aaeefd4e874103e520e5fa3310d0a256c0813a54e", "signature": "82bd8db87fe6ba256867c2009efca145112cc8f6575ddb9c6452ab993ee1744dd6d92b9c8857a387358db165bfa40f8f0b6ffd0ff16ae81fa0d0da043be54f59c7af8e9ab14533e848dcc35ac979fca31feb00ff00ecc3da9426a17c74342e3c", "previous_signature": "b696f116a109e85d9d3e23509cdbae68f8b6726e4e92c1becc21c75ad9e4b380662924d11e9b3a387957e3f8c5f7cd071229c981ed33f9f3c445bdc6da964816cf99d6fac6a4c0c0175b2a791c19e5371a01b0047fa479d6a2d8d403a30ea258", "timestamp_retrieved": 1669268010}
@arae you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
You can view the open-source implementation and usage instructions for this bot on GitHub.
Technical details
Previous round: 2461232, next round: 2461233, salt: YpXAPpe3f2LNgsPL4dXs. Algorithm:
m = hashlib.sha256()
m.update(randomness['randomness'].encode('ascii'))
m.update('-YpXAPpe3f2LNgsPL4dXs'.encode('ascii'))
while True:
m_int = int.from_bytes(m.digest()[:8], byteorder='big')
if m_int < 18446744073709550000:
return (m_int % 2000) + 1
m.update("-RETRY")
Randomness details:
{"round": 2461232, "randomness": "8eda3d62ff1cad7f8bb9566c01def098d117a7ec989666fa9580a3a3e49c2734", "signature": "b696f116a109e85d9d3e23509cdbae68f8b6726e4e92c1becc21c75ad9e4b380662924d11e9b3a387957e3f8c5f7cd071229c981ed33f9f3c445bdc6da964816cf99d6fac6a4c0c0175b2a791c19e5371a01b0047fa479d6a2d8d403a30ea258", "previous_signature": "814fdf4031576038e337dd2c7f909cbdded0ca52614dcf2ae24def5400cba13cd3e3d52ae0b4cbbb493204ade4d07f4903d8832265f96b25ebce31c827754a117c98302fb67ea9faced5fb856132a0282848e6093e98ba743492357c1505b1f0", "timestamp_retrieved": 1669268002}
Will any of the traders roll 1337 on a 2000-sided Fairly Random die by EOY? (with hax), 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition