Conditional on another positive leap second by end of 2035, will it cause any bugs on Manifold?
11
1kṀ3512036
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if /Yev/will-there-be-another-positive-leap resolves NO.
Resolves YES if the next positive leap second causes some bug on Manifold and NO if it doesn't.
For example, if trades made during the leap second are displayed in the wrong order in trade history, that would cause this market to resolve YES. However if all such bugs are fixed in preparation for the leap second, it would resolve NO.
Bugs in Manifold bots do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@MrLuke255 depending on whether you think this is a bug, it might record trades which were a whole second apart as having occurred "at the same time as" each other
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
31% chance
Will Manifold resolve this time-going-backwards bug by Feb. 1, 2023?
50% chance
Will Manifold resolve this time-going-backwards bug by 2019?
50% chance
Will Manifold resolve this time-goes-backwards bug by 2021?
50% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance
Will I be banned at least once on Manifold before the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will anyone implement a system resembling the one described in https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2011-11-04 on Manifold by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will the described dynamic mostly stop happening on Manifold by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
31% chance
Smart contracts on Manifold by end of 2026?
15% chance