There are always rumors about what is target result of upcoming elections so I think it's possible to guess EXACT percentage.
Will resolve to official results. Exact guess resolves to YES, everything else resolves to NO. Results are rounded DOWN, so e.g. 83.7 will resolve to 83.
Polling stations close at 6pm UTC today. Final results should be known by 12pm UTC tomorrow.
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60% counted, Putin 87.26% trending down very slowly.
UPD:
70% counted, Putin 87.17%...
@HarrisonNathan haha i kind of love it. Like @GazDownright mentioned, it was always about which number looks good :)
@nikstar Despite being first to show up after the first official results, I lost a fair amount of mana here because of the need to move around or hedge my positions, and won't make this mistake again.
@8a79 Russian account just showed up out of nowhere to vote 86%, after trading only one other question in the past 6 months.
@HarrisonNathan Maybe it's the marketing guy in his government; deciding the percentage that looks best for Putin.
@Pykess How does that work? Yes/no market + resolve to % ? This way is riskier but you stand to win more.
@nikstar I also want to know, I've seen numerical markets (resolving to an integer rather than a percentage) but don't know how to make them
