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MANIFOLD
Vladimir Putin exact election result %?
59
แน€3.2kแน€19k
resolved Mar 18
100%96%
87
0.0%
77
0.0%
78
0.0%
79
0.1%
80
0.1%
81
0.1%
82
0.1%
83
0.2%
84
0.2%
85
1.0%
86
0.6%
88
1.0%Other

There are always rumors about what is target result of upcoming elections so I think it's possible to guess EXACT percentage.

Will resolve to official results. Exact guess resolves to YES, everything else resolves to NO. Results are rounded DOWN, so e.g. 83.7 will resolve to 83.

Polling stations close at 6pm UTC today. Final results should be known by 12pm UTC tomorrow.

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@nikstar Wait, how did you find a trustworthy source for these numbers? ๐Ÿคฃ ๐Ÿ™ƒ

@GazDownright

Will resolve to official results.

@KongoLandwalker ๐Ÿ™ƒ

All right, 99.71% counted, Putin 87.31. Time to resolve.

bought แน€50 YES

@nikstar ๐Ÿ’ซ

bought แน€5 YES

96.45% counted.

87.35%

bought แน€20 YES

80% counted.

87.15%

bought แน€10 YES

That is very fun market

nikstar boughtแน€100 NO

60% counted, Putin 87.26% trending down very slowly.
UPD:
70% counted, Putin 87.17%...

bought แน€30 YES

@nikstar I am really hating this "exact number" structure.

@HarrisonNathan haha i kind of love it. Like @GazDownright mentioned, it was always about which number looks good :)

@nikstar Despite being first to show up after the first official results, I lost a fair amount of mana here because of the need to move around or hedge my positions, and won't make this mistake again.

sold แน€64 YES

@nikstar I'm finally flat. It's very obnoxious exiting an illiquid market like this.

@HarrisonNathan I have no idea what I'm even

Cat Working GIF

doing.

@GazDownright Really, as soon as that happened was when I should have taken the loss.

@HarrisonNathan Talking about myself btw!

@nikstar Next time please make 121 options so we can bet on the decimals ๐Ÿ˜ƒ

@8a79 Russian account just showed up out of nowhere to vote 86%, after trading only one other question in the past 6 months.

@HarrisonNathan Maybe it's the marketing guy in his government; deciding the percentage that looks best for Putin.

bought แน€3 YES

Headlines are saying 88%.
First official results are saying 87.97%.

This would been much better as a numerical market

@Pykess How does that work? Yes/no market + resolve to % ? This way is riskier but you stand to win more.

sold แน€18 NO

@nikstar I also want to know, I've seen numerical markets (resolving to an integer rather than a percentage) but don't know how to make them

@CDBiddulph @nikstar oh my bad it seems they've temporarily removed the ability to make them