Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the total number of tech employees laid off in the calendar year 2027 is greater than 250,000, according to the official tracking data on Layoffs.fyi. If the total is 250,000 or fewer, the market resolves to NO.

• Source of Truth: The metric displayed under the "In 2027" summary (or the aggregate of 2027 calendar year entries if the website layout changes) on the Layoffs.fyi homepage.

• Resolution Date: The market will resolve based on the data published on the site as of January 15, 2028, to allow time for late-December 2027 layoffs to be officially logged. Any subsequent retroactive revisions to the 2027 dataset after January 15, 2028, will not be factored into the resolution.

Background

Layoffs.fyi is a widely cited independent tracker launched in 2020 that monitors tech sector job cuts globally.

Historical tech layoff figures reported by Layoffs.fyi:

• 2022: 165,269 employees (1,064 companies)

• 2023: 265,660 employees (1,194 companies)

• 2024: 152,922 employees (551 companies)

• 2025: 122,606 employees (278 companies)

• 2026 (YTD, as of September 2026): ~129,488 employees (296 companies)

This market evaluates whether the volume of tech layoffs in 2027 will match or exceed the historic peak seen during the 2023 correction, or if it will remain closer to the baselines established in other post-pandemic years.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.