Will the victory margin for Nakamura vs. Carlson be less than 5 points in the 2023 Speed chess championship?
15
172
290
resolved Sep 22
Resolved
YES

The 2023 Speed Chess Championship is between Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlson. How close do we expect this to be? This resolves yes if the victory margin for the final score is 4.5 or less. It resolves no if the margin is 5 or higher. This market treats a victory by either player the same.

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bought Ṁ10 of YES

Close unless naka has a bad day.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@AdamTreat But still close if Carlsen has a bad day?

bought Ṁ35 of YES

@WrongoPhD yes probably, especially at this point