Will Elon Musk do something as a result of his AI angst by 2025?
53
1.6kṀ9474
resolved Jul 12
Resolved
YES
AI
Elon musk
AI Safety
Existential Risk
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ149
2Ṁ102
3Ṁ95
4Ṁ67
5Ṁ65

People are also trading

If Elon Musk does something as a result of his AI angst by 2025, will Eliezer Yudkowsky judge it to be a positive or neutral initiative (as opposed to negative)?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before the end of 2036?
33% chance
Will AI be able to outperform Elon Musk as CEO of Twitter before 2025?
11% chance
Will >90% of Elon re/tweets/replies on 19 December 2025 be about AI risk?
10% chance
Will Elon Musk try to use an AI model to sway people towards a political ideology before 2031?
35% chance
Will Elon Musk be one of Time's '100 Most Influential People in AI' in 2025?
72% chance
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will anyone attempt to assassinate Elon Musk in 2025?
10% chance
Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Elon Musk go to space by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Sort by:

https://x.ai/

xAI: Understand the Universe
xAI is a new company founded by Elon Musk that sets out to Understand the Universe.

predictedYES

@JacobWood Does this resolve the market?

predictedYES

@JacobWood I'll wait a bit to make sure it's legit, but it does

predictedYES

@Writer Looks like it is https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1679164661869182976

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/fighting-woke-ai-musk-recruits-team-to-develop-openai-rival

People are also trading

If Elon Musk does something as a result of his AI angst by 2025, will Eliezer Yudkowsky judge it to be a positive or neutral initiative (as opposed to negative)?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before the end of 2036?
+6% 1d33% chance
Will AI be able to outperform Elon Musk as CEO of Twitter before 2025?
11% chance
Will >90% of Elon re/tweets/replies on 19 December 2025 be about AI risk?
10% chance
Will Elon Musk try to use an AI model to sway people towards a political ideology before 2031?
35% chance
Will Elon Musk be one of Time's '100 Most Influential People in AI' in 2025?
72% chance
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will anyone attempt to assassinate Elon Musk in 2025?
10% chance
Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Elon Musk go to space by the end of 2025?
3% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules