MANIFOLD
When will my laptop degrade?
7
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
2030
June 16, 2029
10%
2025
20%
2026 or earlier
24%
2027 or earlier
44%
2028 or earlier
59%
2029 or earlier

criteria

  • Resolves YES if I notice my laptop's hardware performance has degraded so much that it significantly impacts my usage.

  • Resolves NO if the year passes without those issues.

  • resolves NA if I stop using my laptop but I still judge it to be in good condition.

  • Not sure how I should resolve in case of theft, loss, or damage clearly unrelated to age (e.g. falling from a building). Currently leaning towards NA, but will announce in a comment if this changes.

rulings

Examples of things that would make it resolve YES:

  • screen issues

  • slowdowns and shutdowns attributed to overheating

  • broken hinges

  • broken ports

Examples of things that would NOT count:

  • keyboard/mousepad failure (I use external peripherals)

  • battery failure (I always have it plugged in anyway)

  • failure of components that are very easy to find replacements for and very easy to do the replacement

about the device

  • Lenovo Thinkpad X1 Carbon 5th gen.

  • Bought it refurbished for ~500€ in 2022/23

  • As of October 2025 never had any hardware issues besides battery life

  • Update 2025-10-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Persistence requirement clarified: Issues must be persistent problems, not just the first instance. One or two occurrences on hot days will not count toward resolution.

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Examples of things that would NOT count:

failure of components that are very easy to find replacements for and very easy to do the replacement

Would repasting your CPU be "very easy"?

@Robincvgr I feel like any repasting efforts would happen after the "slowdowns and shutdowns attributed to overheating" requirement was met.

@Robincvgr looking at pictures, probably not. If something happens I will fiddle with it and we will see if it still boots afterwards :P

@Tarl I meant if the issues are persistent problems, not necessarily the very first instance of an issue. If it happens once or twice on hot days it won't count it either.

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