Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will a junior high school student win gold medal at the 2026 Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ144
Dec 31
50%
chance

Resolves YES if and only if at least one of the 5 gold medalists at the OSN Matematika SMA/MA 2026 is grade 8 or 9 during registration.

Historical OSN gold medalists who were still in Junior High School:

2025: Yusril Ihsan Adinatanegara (#4)

2024: N/A

2023: N/A

2022: Janssen Edyth Lim (#1)

2021: Maulana Satya Adigama (#5)

2020: Vannes Wijaya (#3)

2019: N/A

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 YES

I believe there are strong juniors that can take on the establishment. But the establishment is also quite strong, so I'd say it's still 50/50.