How many votes will Donald Trump receive in Pennsylvania? (Set)
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6
แน1215Nov 11
90%
Trump 3,000,000 or more
89%
Trump 3,100,000 or more
82%
Trump 3,200,000 or more
62%
Trump 3,300,000 or more
47%
Trump 3,400,000 or more
38%
Trump 3,500,000 or more
28%
Trump 3,600,000 or more
13%
Trump 3,700,000 or more
7%
Trump 3,800,000 or more
How many votes will Donald Trump receive in the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
In 2020, Biden received 3,458,229 votes and Trump received 3,377,674 votes.
In 2016, Trump received 2,970,733 votes and Clinton received 2,926,441 votes.
Arbitrage between identical questions in two formats:
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Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re-52hN9Usd8Z
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r-C0yPs2dqZl
Multiple Choice Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r
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