How many votes will Donald Trump receive in Pennsylvania? (Set)
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Plus
8
Ṁ7225
resolved Nov 13
Resolved
YES
Trump 3,500,000 or more
Resolved
YES
Trump 3,400,000 or more
Resolved
YES
Trump 3,300,000 or more
Resolved
YES
Trump 3,000,000 or more
Resolved
YES
Trump 3,100,000 or more
Resolved
YES
Trump 3,200,000 or more
Resolved
NO
Trump 3,600,000 or more
Resolved
NO
Trump 3,700,000 or more
Resolved
NO
Trump 3,800,000 or more

How many votes will Donald Trump receive in the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

In 2020, Biden received 3,458,229 votes and Trump received 3,377,674 votes.
In 2016, Trump received 2,970,733 votes and Clinton received 2,926,441 votes.

Arbitrage between identical questions in two formats:

Set Question Format

Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re-52hN9Usd8Z

Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r-C0yPs2dqZl

Multiple Choice Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r

#️ Politics
#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Trump
#Republican Party
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
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https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iCSxHmHAXurZ4HwCr/the-value-of-a-vote-in-the-2024-presidential-election?commentId=fBcpFP2eSLWQKZYGJ

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