Manifolio is a calculator I have built which optimises the size of your bets accoriding to the Kelly criterion (see the calculator itself or the announcement post for more info). It has just been approved as a Chrome extension, woohoo!

You can install the extension here.

Having it as an extension rather than a separate website makes it a million times more convenient to use for non-power users. I didn't expect it to get that much usage as a separate website tbh because you have to bookmark/remember a whole separate url so it's hard to get into the habit of using it.

Will there be at least 40 NET installs by 1st September (i.e. installs minus uninstalls, according to the chrome developer dashboard)?

Attemping to fix this market by installing the extension is not only allowed, but encouraged! Although I've set the target slightly high to account for people e.g. double installing it in both Chrome and Brave, stuff like this does count towards the total because I have no way to determine truly unique installs.

Resolution criteria notes:

• The market closes before the cutoff time, this is not a mistake it's to avoid last minute shenanigans

• The cutoff time for counting installs is midnight on 1st September UTC (i.e. the end of the day)

• This market will resolve early if the high watermark of net installs is above 40 at any time before the cutoff date

• I've never published a chrome extension before so I'm not sure how "live" the numbers are. I will go with whatever the dashboard says, I assume it will be no more than a day out of date though

• I may or may not give running updates in the comments

• If I make a firefox/other extension these installs also count