Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the closing price of COMEX Silver Futures, as quoted by the Yahoo Finance ticker SI=F, is strictly greater than $65.00 on the final trading day of September 2026 (September 30, 2026). Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Primary Source: The daily close price on the Yahoo Finance page for SI=F.

• Fallback Source: If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or fails to update, the official CME COMEX Silver Futures active front-month settlement price on September 30, 2026, will be used, verifiable via the CME Group website.

Background

As of early September 2026, silver is trading between $63.90 and $67.60 per ounce. The metal is supported by a persistent physical market deficit, with the Silver Institute projecting a 46.3 million-ounce shortfall for the year. However, prices remain sensitive to upcoming central bank interest rate decisions and recent banking outlook revisions, such as J.P. Morgan lowering its Q4 2026 average silver price forecast to $63.00 per ounce.

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