Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the daily close price of Silver Futures (ticker symbol: SI=F) is strictly greater than $60.00 per ounce on the last trading day of October 2026 (Friday, October 30, 2026), according to Yahoo Finance.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

• Source of Truth: The closing price will be verified using the historical price data for ticker SI=F on Yahoo Finance.

• Specific Data Point: The price listed under the "Close*" column (or the equivalent daily closing price) for the October 30, 2026 date row will be used for resolution.

• Fallback Rule: If Yahoo Finance is unavailable, does not display data for October 30, 2026, or if the ticker symbol changes, the market creator will refer to another reputable financial tracking source (such as CNBC, Bloomberg, or CME Group COMEX Silver Futures historical data) to determine the closing price of the front-month silver futures contract on October 30, 2026. If October 30, 2026 is a non-trading day or trading is halted, the final trading day of October 2026 will be used.

Background

Silver futures (COMEX: SI) are heavily traded commodity contracts that reflect macroeconomic trends, industrial demand (especially in green energy and electronics), and investor appetite for precious metals.

In late September and early October 2026, silver experienced substantial price volatility. After rallying earlier in the year, the spot price of silver hovered near the $60.00/oz mark, driven by shifting interest rate expectations and fluctuating Treasury yields. This market tracks whether silver futures contracts will sustain a close above $60.00/oz by the end of October 2026.

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