Who actually killed JFK?
12
100Ṁ549Feb 24
1D
1W
1M
ALL
79%
Lone Shooter
8%
Russians
2%
US Mob
10%
US Government
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Who orchestrated JFK's assassination?
Did Lee Harvey Oswald kill John F Kennedy?
78% chance
What will be revealed in the newly released files regarding the JFK/MLK/RFK assassinations? [Add Answers]
Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves MKT in 10 years)
43% chance
Did Lee Harvey Oswald act alone in the assassination of John F Kennedy?
25% chance
Will there be a consensus amongst scholars and historians as to who orchestrated JFK's assassination by 2030?
58% chance
Will further evidence emerge that there was a second shooter involved in the assassination of JFK?
9% chance
Will further evidence emerge that the CIA was involved in the assassination of JFK?
17% chance
Will further evidence emerge that the Mafia was involved in the assassination of JFK or its cover up?
13% chance
JFK files declassified - maybe his head just did that
9% chance