Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves MKT in 10 years)
Mini
8
แน3222033
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this question, it's sufficient if U.S. intelligence services took meaningful and deliberate action to cause the assassination (e.g. paying somebody else to do it).
I will differ from simple PROB resolution conservatively, only to avoid market failures. For instance, I may randomize the precise close time, or use the probability from the day before close. I will not be betting in this market.
Jan 24, 12:07pm: Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves PROB in 10 years) โ Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves MKT in 10 years)
Get แน600 play money
Sort by:
how will the market resolve? who judges (in 10 years) whether JFK was assassinated by inteligence services? edit: nvm, I see it resolves to PROB
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a consensus amongst scholars and historians as to who orchestrated JFK's assassination by 2030?
57% chance
Who orchestrated JFK's assassination?
Did Lee Harvey Oswald kill John F Kennedy?
65% chance
Did Lee Harvey Oswald act alone in the assassination of John F Kennedy?
69% chance
Will further evidence emerge that the Mafia was involved in the assassination of JFK or its cover up?
41% chance
Will further evidence emerge that the CIA was involved in the assassination of JFK?
18% chance
Will There Be a Successful Assassination of RFK Jr. Before December 31, 2026?
4% chance
Will further evidence emerge that there was a second shooter involved in the assassination of JFK?
17% chance
JFK assassination linked to Aliens before 2040
7% chance