Who will win the 1M USD buy-in High Roller Chess Tournament?
Who will win the 1M USD buy-in High Roller Chess Tournament?
31
1kṀ5062resolved Jun 29
ResolvedN/A
26%
Fabiano Caruana (2738)
27%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov (2724)
29%
Ian Nepomniachtchi (2754)
7%
Hans Niemann (2598)
10%Other
Each player pays $1 million entrance fee. Total prize pool is 3.9M and is split as follows:
1st place $2 million
2nd place $1.5 million
3rd place $0.4 million
4th place $0
Tournament is 4 player round robin Rapid format (15 minutes with no increment). All matches will be played on 11th of November 2024.
All players have confirmed that they have secured the funds and they want to play. However if the event is cancelled, this market will be resolved N/A. The Other option is here in case someone drops out and is replaced by another player.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.