Resolves according to the first classical FIDE rating list released after the end of 2024.
You can check the live ratings here: https://2700chess.com/
They are currently at 14.-18. place:
@TimothyJohnson5c16 What would Gukesh's score after the 14 WC games have to be in order to gain 18 rating points?
@WilliamKiely According to the calculator here, Gukesh gets about 4.1 rating points for each win, and loses 0.9 points for each draw. So I think he needs at least 5 or 6 wins.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 Nice, the K factor was the part I was unsure about, but that looks right. "K=10 after a player reaches a rating of 2400, even if their rating falls below 2400."
So I think 6 wins and 8 draws would get Gukesh to ~2800-2803.
@WilliamKiely Doesn't the match end early though if one side is too far behind to catch up? They might not play a full 14 games.