You are welcome to add your own options.
Games start 20th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (~42 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.
Games can be followed here: https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-13/Dc0DQMaQ
Event info + standings: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament
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General rules:
When referring to rankings, final rankings after the round is over are are used unless specified otherwise
For options that are hard to verify ("X is said on broadcast"), I will give time for people to post evidence for YES and if there is none, it will be resolved NO.
Options refer to Open section unless stated otherwise
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are you fine holding off resolving this till tomorrow @Weezing ? I dozzed off but can replay the half of the broadcast i missed early tomorrow and help resolve it
@Weezing ended up putting myself through the entire 2nd half of the stream and Danya was incredibly restrained, only namedropping Petrosian and Sherlock Holmes so unless otherwise this should resolve NO
@Weezing stockfish depth 30 on lichess says Nepo would have a +1.0 advantage if Hikaru plays Nf4 but it drops to +0.8 at depth 43.
@diadematus yea that's normal that it changes, that's why I always want to have specified depth for this stuff. But he didnt play it yet.
@Weezing i had to double check the meaning of "by move 16" but this counts, right?
@diadematus Not sure, "by X" usually means it must be true when X happens and this only happened on second move on move 16. Maybe N/A?
@Weezing "by" is quite ambiguous e.g https://ell.stackexchange.com/questions/87002/what-does-by-mean-if-we-are-talking-about-a-date but in the case was the intention to mean "before"?