Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the officially recorded daily maximum temperature for Downtown Los Angeles, CA on Wednesday, July 15, 2026, is 91°F or higher. It will resolve to NO if the recorded maximum temperature is 90°F or lower.

• Primary Source of Truth: The National Weather Service (NWS) Daily Climate Report (CLI) or the Preliminary Local Climatological Data (CF6) for Downtown Los Angeles, CA (Station ID: CQT / KCQT / FHMC1 / KFHM).

• Verification Link: Users can verify the recorded high temperature using the NWS Los Angeles Climate Product Portal (by selecting "Daily Climate Report" and "Los Angeles Downtown") or via the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Home Page.

• Fallback: If the official Downtown Los Angeles station data is missing or unavailable within 7 days of the target date (by July 22, 2026), the market will resolve using finalized daily summaries from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) for Downtown Los Angeles.

Background

The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued an Extreme Heat Watch for parts of the Los Angeles area, in effect from July 14 through July 16, 2026. Early forecasts for Wednesday, July 15, project a high of approximately 91°F in Downtown Los Angeles, placing the day's peak temperature right at the threshold of this market.

Note that the official Downtown Los Angeles weather observations site was relocated in May 2024 from the USC campus to the Frank Hotchkin Memorial Training Center near Dodger Stadium (Station FHMC1), which now serves as the official downtown climate station for NOAA.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.