Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Google releases Gemini 3.5 Pro for public use on the Gemini API on or before July 12, 2026, at 11:59 PM PDT. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

To qualify for a YES resolution:

• The model must be publicly accessible via the Gemini API or Google AI Studio (including pay-as-you-go / developer tiers). Models restricted entirely to closed enterprise allowlists or private previews do not qualify.

• The model must be officially designated by Google as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" (including preview or stable variants such as gemini-3.5-pro-preview or gemini-3.5-pro).

Resolution will be determined using the following official sources:

• Google Gemini API Release Notes

• Google Cloud Gemini Enterprise Agent Platform Release Notes

• Official announcements from the Google Keyword Blog or Google DeepMind.

Background

At Google I/O on May 19, 2026, Google announced Gemini 3.5 Flash (released immediately) and teased Gemini 3.5 Pro. Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai originally targeted a June 2026 release for the Pro model. However, in late June, reports emerged that Google delayed the release of Gemini 3.5 Pro to July 2026 to give engineers more time to collect feedback from early testers and refine its performance on complex agentic workflows. The model is expected to feature a 2-million-token context window and a "Deep Think" reasoning mode.

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