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MANIFOLD
Gemini 3.5 Pro when???
7
Ṁ175Ṁ1.5k
Dec 31
June 27, 2027
0.2%
August 2026
0.4%
September 2026
0.7%
October 2026
0.4%
November 2026
0.4%
December 2026
98%
January 2027 or later or never

This market asks when Gemini 3.5 Pro is released.

  • Update 2026-09-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Google skips Gemini 3.5 Pro and releases Gemini 4, the market will resolve to never (or 2027 or later or never).

This market closes when Gemini [any number 4 or greater] Pro releases. Argon does not count.

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Will Gemini 4 count for this, or if they skip 3.5 and go straight to 4 will this resolve to "2027 or later or never"?

@Lorenzo In that case it counts as never because this market is made as a frustration of Gemini 3.5 Pro being repeatedly postponed