Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, according to Box Office Mojo, Disney's live-action film Moana (2026) has a higher cumulative domestic box office gross than Universal's Minions & Monsters (2026) as of July 30, 2026 (inclusive of all domestic box office receipts reported for and up to that date).

If Minions & Monsters has a higher or equal domestic gross compared to Moana as of that date, this market will resolve to NO.

Definitions & Details:

• Domestic Gross: Refers to the North American (U.S. and Canada) box office receipts.

• Source of Truth: The primary source for resolution is the domestic cumulative box office pages on Box Office Mojo. If Box Office Mojo is unavailable, The Numbers will be used as the definitive backup.

• Reporting Lag: The market will resolve once the final daily box office numbers for both films on July 30, 2026, are published (typically by August 1, 2026). Retroactive box office revisions published after August 2, 2026, will not be considered.

• If either movie's U.S. theatrical release is delayed past July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to N/A.

Background

• Minions & Monsters (Universal/Illumination), the seventh installment in the Despicable Me franchise, was released in North American theaters on July 1, 2026.

• Moana (Disney), the live-action adaptation of the 2016 animated musical starring Catherine Lagaʻaia and Dwayne Johnson, is scheduled to premiere in theaters on July 10, 2026.

• Both family-oriented blockbusters are competing for dominance in the July 2026 domestic box office. This market measures whether Moana can overtake Minions & Monsters in cumulative domestic earnings by the end of July.

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