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MANIFOLD
Will a Manifold Markets user join my OpenChat group and stay 45 consecutive days before Oct. 29, 2026 (10/26/29)?
0
Ṁ100
Oct 28
50%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if at least one Manifold Markets user joins the market creator's OpenChat group and remains a continuous member for at least 45 consecutive days, with the streak successfully completed before October 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

To qualify for verification:

  1. The participant must join the creator's OpenChat group.

  2. The participant must post a comment on this market stating their OpenChat username/handle so that their Manifold identity can be linked to their OpenChat account.

  3. The participant must remain in the group for 45 consecutive days without leaving.

Rules & Edge Cases:

  • Source of Truth: The creator's OpenChat group logs and member list will serve as the source of truth. The creator should provide screenshot evidence verifying the join date and continuous membership of the qualifying user upon resolution.

  • Latest Join Date: Because the 45-day streak must be completed before October 29, 2026, the latest a user can join the group and successfully complete the streak is September 14, 2026.

  • Group Link: The creator must provide the link to their OpenChat group in the description or the comments of this market. If no link is provided, or if the group is deleted/inaccessible before a user can complete the streak, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

OpenChat is a decentralized, fully on-chain instant messaging platform built on the Internet Computer (ICP) blockchain. It functions similarly to Web2 messaging apps like Telegram or WhatsApp but runs entirely on decentralized infrastructure. This market acts as an incentive for Manifold users to join and remain active in the creator's self-hosted OpenChat group.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

This satisfies the requirement stated in the resolution criteria that the creator must provide a group link, meaning the market is eligible to resolve YES if other criteria are met.

Market context
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The OpenChat link is in the previous comment.