Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if my Manifold Markets profile has 75 or more followers at any point on September 5, 2026 (PDT). Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

• Source of truth: My Manifold Markets profile page.

• Evaluation time: The final check will be performed at 11:59 PM UTC on September 5, 2026.

• Edge cases: If my account is deleted, banned, or otherwise inaccessible on the resolution date, the market will resolve to NO unless public archived data (such as the Wayback Machine) or verifiable screenshots from September 5, 2026, confirm that the 75-follower threshold was met.

Background

As of July 15, 2026 (day 53), I have 35 followers. To reach the target of 75 followers by September 5, 2026, I need to gain 40 more followers over the next 52 days. This requires a sustained growth rate of approximately 0.77 new followers per day.

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