Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold Markets account has accumulated 20 or more total referrals by August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM PDT. It resolves to NO if the total referral count is 19 or fewer at that deadline.

The creator will resolve this market using the referral stats page on their Manifold account.

Background

The creator has been a Manifold user for 47 days and has successfully referred 16 users to the platform. They need 4 more referrals to reach their target of 20 by the deadline of August 4, 2026.

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