Manifold Status: Will I reach Top 40 before (U.S.) Thanksgiving?

Question

Today I reached Top 50 (Creators) after 150+ days. I started May 25, 2026. In your/my back office this category is called: Doing The Hard Part

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Oct 22, 2026).

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