Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold profile displays a total of 900 or more unique traders at any point on or before July 17, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
This market resolves to NO if the creator's unique trader count remains below 900 at the deadline.
Source of Truth: The unique trader count displayed on the creator's Manifold profile page. The creator will resolve this market based on their profile statistics.
Background
On June 16, 2026, the creator reached a milestone of 500 unique traders across their markets. This market tracks whether they can grow their audience by an additional 400 unique traders to reach the 900-trader mark within approximately one month (by July 17, 2026).
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1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ23 | |
| 2 | Ṁ21 | |
| 3 | Ṁ5 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
@CombatWombat Depends on whether yrsterdays addition of 9 people is statistical variance or a new, lower level of increase.
@CombatWombat Seems like we're on target if we can assume it continues at approximately this same rate.