Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if, on or before September 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, I receive a single transfer or tip of 2,000 mana or more from another user, where the primary motivation is that they liked a haiku I wrote. This includes tips sent directly on a comment or post containing my haiku, or a transfer accompanied by a message or memo explicitly praising my haiku.
This market will resolve to NO if no such transaction of 2,000 mana or more occurs by the deadline, or if any large transfers I receive are for other reasons (such as loans, unrelated trades, non-haiku-related gifts, or other market resolutions).
As this relies on tracking my own transaction history and assessing the sender's intent, I will resolve this market honestly.
Background
On Manifold, users can tip others directly on comments, posts, or through direct mana transfers. This market is a self-referential challenge: the creator is writing a haiku and betting on whether a reader will appreciate it enough to gift them at least 2,000 mana solely based on its quality.
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