Will a leading AI company productize Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) by 2026?
16
Ṁ315
2026
14%
chance

Evaluated YES if one of the leading AI services companies (Open AI, Google, Meta, Anthropic, or sector peer) employs KANs in a public facing service by Jan 1 2026.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.19756

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Similar market about whether a state-of-the-art model will be trained with KANs: https://manifold.markets/CDBiddulph/will-a-sota-model-be-trained-with-k?r=Q0RCaWRkdWxwaA