Who will be the first person to climb a V18/9a+ boulder?
3
475Ṁ222030
12%
Will Bosi
8%
Hamish McArthur
7%
5%
Nalle Hukkataival
5%
Simon Lorenzi
5%
Daniel Woods
5%
Shawn Raboutou
5%
Vadim Timonov
5%
Charles Albert
5%
Aidan Roberts
5%
Sean Bailey
5%
Nathaniel Coleman
5%
Elias Iagnemma
5%
Nicolai Užnik
5%
Nico Pelorson
5%
Camille Coudert
5%
Adam Ondra
5%
Jakob Schubert
4%
Noah Wheeler
To define "climbed V18", I will say: the climb must be climbed by a serious climber who has climbed at least established V16. The grade must be taken reasonably seriously by the climbing public, media, and elite boulderers. The grade of V18 must stand without downgrades for at least 1 full year after the new boulder/grade is announced.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the first person to climb a 5.16a/9c+ sport route?
Will there be a new proposed V18/9a+ outdoor boulder in 2025?
47% chance
Will B.I.G. be the first sport climb confirmed 9c?
33% chance
Will I boulder outdoors by the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will Will Bosi climb "all" 9A (V17) boulders? [Read description]
19% chance
Will DNA be the first sport climb confirmed 9c?
11% chance
Who will win the Women's 2024 IFSC European Championship in Bouldering?
Will Silence be the first sport climb confirmed 9c?
55% chance
Will The Dawn Wall (5.14d El Capitan) see another free ascent by 2026?
50% chance
Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents?
56% chance