Will the United States Senate results in Washington show a rightward shift from 2022 to 2024?
Plus
15
Ṁ738Dec 1
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate for United States Senator in Washington State receives less than 57.1% of the vote in 2024. If close, I will calculate the exact unrounded percentage for each.
I reserve the right to close this market "early" if most major news sites show 99% reporting and +-2% does not change the resolution. Otherwise I will use the official Washington election results website once results are certified.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats win the "blue wall" in the 2024 Senate election?
8% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2024 elections?
99% chance
Which Senate Seats will flip in the 2024 election?
Will any Senate seat flip from Democratic to Republican in the 2024 elections?
99% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Wisconsin?
98% chance
If Democrats win the Senate in 2024, which Senate races will they win?
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will any Senate seat flip from Republican to Democratic in the 2024 elections?
20% chance
Will Senate ticket splitting go down in 2024?
36% chance
Will Republicans win 52 or more Senate seats as a result of the 2024 election?
51% chance