Major Houthi attack on Saudi oil facility occurs before April 30, 2025
Basic
7
Ṁ98Apr 30
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves YES if Houthi forces conduct a significant attack (causing damage or disruption) on any Saudi oil facility. Resolution based on Saudi Aramco statements and international media reports.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Not sure whether it was most recent, but it definitely would count and was after 2019.
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?
1% chance
Will the Houthis stop attacking ships in 2024?
7% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
36% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
35% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
22% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
23% chance
Will the Iran-Saudi deal last until 2026?
60% chance
Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2025?
39% chance
Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on a Saudi embassy or consulate before 2025?
2% chance
Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on Saudi Arabia before 2025?
2% chance