MANIFOLD
Was any of the major LA wildfires laid by arson and if yes, by whom?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ210
resolved Sep 8
100%49%
Not arson
19%
Unaffiliated individual(s)
8%
Religiously motivated terrorism
8%
Eco-terrorism
16%Other

If arson is confirmed as the cause of any recent major LA fires, this market resolves based on the type of perpetrator(s) identified by law enforcement. Otherwise resolves "Not arson".

(Add your own options!)

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I'm resolving this "Not arson" unless someone points me to a source claiming otherwise.

bought Ṁ5 YES

I'm assuming an accidental fire from a cigarette or campfire would resolve to unaffiliated person?

@TheAllMemeingEye No, it would be "not arson"

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