Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2030?
19
195
390
2029
15%
chance

Policy criteria for YES resolution:

  1. Is a formal legislation

  2. Is nationwide (not a regional trial)

  3. Is stable (not a one-off payment; planned for at least 5+ years into the future)

  4. Occurs before Jan 1, 2040 EST

If no policy satisfying all of the above conditions are implemented, the market will resolve NO.

PLEASE NOTE: for this market a "partial UBI" will count (this is different compared to my 3 other similar markets which requires a "full UBI" in order to resolve YES).

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